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📄️ Prediction Markets

Prediction markets are openly traded markets that trade assets which are linked to different potential future outcomes. The purpose of prediction markets is to aggregate information from a diverse set of independent actors. Prediction markets have been shown in numerous studies to have more accurate prediction capabilities than other methods such as polls. The reason for this is that they require the actors trading in the markets (also known as informants) to put stake in the game and allows them to profit if they correctly predict a future outcome - while risking loss if their predictions are incorrect.